According to @Andre_Dragosch, Bitcoin (BTC) remains a canary in the macro coal mine but a lot of bad news already appears to be priced in, signaling that recent negative macro headlines may have diminished incremental downside impact on BTC, source: @Andre_Dragosch on X, Nov 26, 2025. According to @Andre_Dragosch, this positioning view frames BTC as a leading indicator for risk sentiment while suggesting recent macro stress has been discounted by the market, which is directly relevant for traders assessing near-term BTC price resilience, source: @Andre_Dragosch on X, Nov 26, 2025.

According to @CNBC, Donald Trump pardoned Thanksgiving turkeys, criticized President Joe Biden, and stated that a Ukraine peace deal is very close during a Thanksgiving event, signaling a notable geopolitical headline for traders to monitor, source: CNBC. According to @CNBC, the post highlights Trump’s claim of imminent progress on Ukraine without providing policy specifics, source: CNBC. According to @CNBC, no market pricing, negotiation timeline, or further details were included in the post, source: CNBC.

According to the source, Bitcoin (BTC) has recorded its longest losing streak since 2024, with a cautious rebound emerging as markets reprice Federal Reserve policy expectations; source: https://twitter.com/DecryptMedia/status/1992811469667201245. For traders, the headline indicates macro-driven flows remain in control of BTC near term, with the rebound linked to Fed repricing rather than idiosyncratic crypto catalysts; source: https://twitter.com/DecryptMedia/status/1992811469667201245.

According to @stocktalkweekly, the author posted a brief remark saying 'Okay... shut the government back down' without providing tickers, price levels, timeframes, or context. Source: @stocktalkweekly. The post contains no references to equities, rates, or cryptocurrencies and offers no market data or catalysts for trading decisions. Source: @stocktalkweekly. Consequently, there is no direct, source-backed trading signal or actionable risk management takeaway from this post alone, and no explicit impact on crypto markets is indicated. Source: @stocktalkweekly.

According to @KobeissiLetter, the shutdown’s final tally includes 5 million airline passengers delayed or canceled, 619 billion dollars in new federal debt, a federal statistical system described as permanently damaged, 43 days of delayed economic data, potential non-release of October jobs and inflation reports, and 750,000 federal workers furloughed, with funding only extended through January 30. Source: The Kobeissi Letter, Nov 13, 2025. According to @KobeissiLetter, the potential absence of October CPI and jobs reports removes key inputs that markets use to price interest rate expectations. Source: The Kobeissi Letter, Nov 13, 2025; CME Group FedWatch Tool. Crypto markets have shown sensitivity to US macro data surprises and cross-asset risk sentiment, making a prolonged data blackout a relevant factor for BTC and ETH traders to monitor. Source: Coin Metrics research 2023–2024.

According to @stocktalkweekly, the U.S. Senate approved a bill to reopen the government with a 60-40 yes vote. According to @stocktalkweekly, eight Democrats voted with Republicans—John Fetterman, Dick Durbin, Tim Kaine, Angus King, Catherine Cortez Masto, Jeanne Shaheen, Maggie Hassan, and Jacky Rosen—indicating bipartisan support. According to @stocktalkweekly, the update explicitly characterizes the measure as reopening the government and provides no additional procedural details.

According to @business, Senate Republican leader John Thune said a deal is coming together and set a Sunday test vote on a narrow spending package intended to end the U.S. government shutdown if approved, source: Bloomberg (@business), Nov 9, 2025. For trading desks tracking macro risk, the Sunday vote timing and the package’s stated goal to reopen the government create a clear headline window to monitor across U.S. futures and 24/7 crypto markets, source: Bloomberg (@business), Nov 9, 2025.

According to @business, the Federal Reserve's semi-annual Financial Stability Report flagged notable vulnerabilities tied to financial leverage; source: Bloomberg/@business. According to @business, the report also stated the US banking system remained sound and resilient; source: Bloomberg/@business.

According to the source, BTC outperformed ETH over the weekend as tit-for-tat tariffs and trade headlines stoked economic concerns, testing a months-long trend in their relative performance, source: X post dated Oct 14, 2025.

According to @business, JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon flagged a weakening labor market and sticky inflation as the bank reported provisions for credit losses that were slightly higher than expected, source: Bloomberg (@business), Oct 14, 2025. According to @business, the update underscores macro risks that markets are tracking into upcoming data, with potential implications for risk assets including BTC and ETH, source: Bloomberg (@business), Oct 14, 2025.

According to @CryptoMichNL, gold’s strong move higher increases the upside potential for Bitcoin BTC, highlighting a constructive setup for crypto if safe-haven flows persist; source: X - @CryptoMichNL, Oct 8, 2025. According to @CryptoMichNL, the same gold surge also suggests something is cracking in the broader economy, elevating macro risk considerations for crypto traders; source: X - @CryptoMichNL, Oct 8, 2025.

According to @CNBC, Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon warned that a stock market drawdown is coming and said 'People won’t feel good,' highlighting a cautious outlook for risk assets as reported on Oct 3, 2025. source: CNBC For trading relevance, this headline serves as a macro risk cue that market participants in equities and crypto (including BTC and ETH) may monitor for short-term positioning and volatility management. source: CNBC

According to @KobeissiLetter, historical data show that market dips on US government shutdown headlines were bought over 85% of the time, source: The Kobeissi Letter, Oct 1, 2025. For crypto, BTC and ETH have shown elevated positive correlation with US equities during macro-driven risk swings, so equity dip-buying has historically coincided with crypto bid recovery, source: Kaiko Research, 2023.

According to the source, Polymarket market pricing implies a 76% probability of a U.S. government shutdown in 2025 as of Sep 24, 2025, signaling elevated event risk to monitor for crypto positioning; source: Polymarket market data. Macro-policy uncertainty such as U.S. funding lapses has been associated with tighter cross-asset correlations that can transmit volatility to crypto assets including BTC and ETH; source: International Monetary Fund research (IMF, 2022). Historically, the longest U.S. shutdown lasted 35 days (Dec 2018–Jan 2019), underscoring tail-risk duration for markets; source: Congressional Research Service. Traders should track changes in the Polymarket odds alongside the U.S. appropriations process as practical catalysts for crypto volatility; source: Polymarket market data; Congressional Research Service.

According to Charlie Bilello, US jobs increased by less than 1% year over year, the slowest pace since March 2021. Source: Charlie Bilello, X post on Sep 15, 2025. According to Charlie Bilello, over the past 50 years this degree of labor-market weakness preceded a recession and a spike in the unemployment rate 100% of the time, a macro risk flag traders can incorporate into positioning and risk management. Source: Charlie Bilello, X post on Sep 15, 2025.

According to @DowdEdward, Oxfam’s 2023 data show the richest 1% own nearly half of global wealth while the bottom 50% hold just 0.75% (source: Oxfam 2023 via @DowdEdward). He argues that historically such gaps narrow mainly under existential threats or systemic collapse, citing Rome’s fall, the French Revolution, the Black Death’s labor shock, and the Great Depression as examples (source: @DowdEdward). He links today’s inequality dynamic to a governmental push for a cyber control grid with digital money as the control mechanism, signaling policy and surveillance risk relevant to digital assets and CBDC debates (source: @DowdEdward). He adds that he does not see imminent collapse but urges investors to understand cycles and government behavior when assessing macro risk (source: @DowdEdward). For crypto traders, the takeaway is elevated headline risk around CBDC frameworks and financial surveillance that could shape market sentiment and positioning across digital assets (source: @DowdEdward).

According to @KobeissiLetter, year-to-date job cuts attributed to DOGE cuts total 292,279, while 199,297 cuts are cited as due to market and economic conditions, the second most common reason. Source: @KobeissiLetter. @KobeissiLetter adds that the Federal Reserve will lean on these labor-market dynamics in September, making them a key input for policy decisions. Source: @KobeissiLetter. For traders, this sets a macro catalyst window around the September FOMC where positioning in risk assets, including BTC and ETH, may adjust with Fed guidance. Source: @KobeissiLetter.

According to Eric Balchunas (source: Eric Balchunas on X, Sep 2, 2025), most investors will continue to tune out economists and columnists unless they see tangible economic pain or a severe deterioration in earnings. For trading, this frames two concrete catalysts to watch: real-economy stress that becomes visible at the community level and an earnings-season drawdown severe enough to reset risk appetite, which could shift positioning across stocks and crypto (source: Eric Balchunas).

According to @glassnode, Bitcoin’s 6M/1M implied volatility ratio is elevated with only 3.2% of days showing higher readings. According to @glassnode, options markets are increasingly pricing medium-term uncertainty, indicating rising concern about structural or macro risks. According to @glassnode, the elevated ratio means six-month BTC options are priced with higher implied volatility relative to one-month options, highlighting a steepening options term structure that traders track for risk management.

According to Lex Sokolin, Bitcoin (BTC) emerges as a direct response to persistent issues in the traditional financial system, including credit default swaps, fractional reserve banking, negative interest rates, and unlimited money printing. These systemic risks highlight the role of BTC as a decentralized alternative, offering transparent and finite monetary policy. For traders, Sokolin's analysis suggests that Bitcoin's value proposition is strengthened during periods of financial instability, potentially driving higher demand and price volatility in the crypto markets. Source: Lex Sokolin.